Uptake of pneumococcal vaccines in older Australian adults before and after universal public funding of PCV13.

BACKGROUND: In 2020 Australia changed the funded universal older adult pneumococcal vaccination program from use of the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) at age 65 to the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) at age 70 years. We investigated uptake of both PCV13 and PPV23 in older adults before and after the program change. METHODS: We analysed a national dataset of records of patients attending general practices (GPs). We included regular attendees aged 65 or above in 2020. Cumulative uptake of PCV13 and monthly uptake of PPV23 was compared for the two periods before (January 2019 to June 2020) and after (July 2020 to May 2021) the program change on 1 July 2020, by age groups and presence of comorbid conditions. RESULTS: Our study included data from 192,508 patients (mean age in 2020: 75.1 years, 54.2 % female, 46.1 % with at least one comorbidity). Before July 2020, for all adults regardless of underlying comorbidities, the cumulative uptake of PCV13 was < 1 % but by May 2021, eleven months after the program changes, cumulative uptake of PCV13 had increased among those aged 70-79 years (without comorbidity: 16.3 %; with comorbidity: 21.1 %) and 80 + years (without comorbidity: 13.5 %; with comorbidity: 17.7 %), but not among those aged 65-69 years (without comorbidity: 1.3 %; with comorbidity: 3 %). Monthly uptake of PPV23 dropped following the program change across all age groups. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in uptake of PCV13 and PPV23 among those aged 70 + years were consistent with program changes. However, PCV13 uptake was still substantially lower in individuals aged 65-69 years overall and in those with comorbidities.

Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability in Cardiovascular Disease.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), independently of mean blood pressure (BP). However, in real world clinical practice, this phenomenon is frequently considered as random fluctuation. This review aimed to investigate the differences among studies investigating visit-to-visit BPV and CVD using electronic health record (EHR) and clinical trial data. Our review suggests that BP values in clinical trial data are derived using a stricter protocol compared to EHR data. Furthermore, there was no consensus on metrics used in estimation of BPV.

Strategies to Improve Statin Medication Adherence Among Patients at Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Identified Through Electronic Health Records: A Literature Review.

Statin is a group of lipid/cholesterol-lowering medications that is commonly used for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). In Australia, this is the first line of pharmacological therapy for CVD risk management. High-risk patients who do not adhere to lipid-modifying medicines have an increased risk of CVD mortality, hospitalization, and revascularization. However, studies show that 67% of patients are non-adherent to statins. As such, improving statin adherence through various strategies is very important. This literature review delves into the studies from the past 10 years to identify the various strategies used and their effectiveness to improve statin adherence. The initial search results on PubMed showed 157 articles and based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 7 articles were finally used for this review. The patients in the studies were identified through electronic health records. The findings suggest that education, counselling and motivation through face-to-face interaction, phone calls or text messages, reminder messages and frequent follow-up visits are good strategies to improve statin adherence. Alongside these, simplifying regimens, switching combinations of medicines, or using alternate dosing have also been shown to improve statin adherence. In summary, counselling and face-to-face interaction are effective methods for improving statin adherence. The use of electronic health record (EHR) systems combined with targeted interventions delivered to patients identified to be non-adherent to statin may further improve statin adherence.

End-to-end prognostication in colorectal cancer by deep learning: a retrospective, multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Precise prognosis prediction in patients with colorectal cancer (ie, forecasting survival) is pivotal for individualised treatment and care. Histopathological tissue slides of colorectal cancer specimens contain rich prognostically relevant information. However, existing studies do not have multicentre external validation with real-world sample processing protocols, and algorithms are not yet widely used in clinical routine. METHODS: In this retrospective, multicentre study, we collected tissue samples from four groups of patients with resected colorectal cancer from Australia, Germany, and the USA. We developed and externally validated a deep learning-based prognostic-stratification system for automatic prediction of overall and cancer-specific survival in patients with resected colorectal cancer. We used the model-predicted risk scores to stratify patients into different risk groups and compared survival outcomes between these groups. Additionally, we evaluated the prognostic value of these risk groups after adjusting for established prognostic variables. FINDINGS: We trained and validated our model on a total of 4428 patients. We found that patients could be divided into high-risk and low-risk groups on the basis of the deep learning-based risk score. On the internal test set, the group with a high-risk score had a worse prognosis than the group with a low-risk score, as reflected by a hazard ratio (HR) of 4·50 (95% CI 3·33-6·09) for overall survival and 8·35 (5·06-13·78) for disease-specific survival (DSS). We found consistent performance across three large external test sets. In a test set of 1395 patients, the high-risk group had a lower DSS than the low-risk group, with an HR of 3·08 (2·44-3·89). In two additional test sets, the HRs for DSS were 2·23 (1·23-4·04) and 3·07 (1·78-5·3). We showed that the prognostic value of the deep learning-based risk score is independent of established clinical risk factors. INTERPRETATION: Our findings indicate that attention-based self-supervised deep learning can robustly offer a prognosis on clinical outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer, generalising across different populations and serving as a potentially new prognostic tool in clinical decision making for colorectal cancer management. We release all source codes and trained models under an open-source licence, allowing other researchers to reuse and build upon our work. FUNDING: The German Federal Ministry of Health, the Max-Eder-Programme of German Cancer Aid, the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research, the German Academic Exchange Service, and the EU.

OpenDeID Pipeline for Unstructured Electronic Health Record Text Notes Based on Rules and Transformers: Deidentification Algorithm Development and Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Electronic health records (EHRs) in unstructured formats are valuable sources of information for research in both the clinical and biomedical domains. However, before such records can be used for research purposes, sensitive health information (SHI) must be removed in several cases to protect patient privacy. Rule-based and machine learning-based methods have been shown to be effective in deidentification. However, very few studies investigated the combination of transformer-based language models and rules. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to develop a hybrid deidentification pipeline for Australian EHR text notes using rules and transformers. The study also aims to investigate the impact of pretrained word embedding and transformer-based language models. METHODS: In this study, we present a hybrid deidentification pipeline called OpenDeID, which is developed using an Australian multicenter EHR-based corpus called OpenDeID Corpus. The OpenDeID corpus consists of 2100 pathology reports with 38,414 SHI entities from 1833 patients. The OpenDeID pipeline incorporates a hybrid approach of associative rules, supervised deep learning, and pretrained language models. RESULTS: The OpenDeID achieved a best F1-score of 0.9659 by fine-tuning the Discharge Summary BioBERT model and incorporating various preprocessing and postprocessing rules. The OpenDeID pipeline has been deployed at a large tertiary teaching hospital and has processed over 8000 unstructured EHR text notes in real time. CONCLUSIONS: The OpenDeID pipeline is a hybrid deidentification pipeline to deidentify SHI entities in unstructured EHR text notes. The pipeline has been evaluated on a large multicenter corpus. External validation will be undertaken as part of our future work to evaluate the effectiveness of the OpenDeID pipeline.

Colorectal cancer risk stratification on histological slides based on survival curves predicted by deep learning.

Studies have shown that colorectal cancer prognosis can be predicted by deep learning-based analysis of histological tissue sections of the primary tumor. So far, this has been achieved using a binary prediction. Survival curves might contain more detailed information and thus enable a more fine-grained risk prediction. Therefore, we established survival curve-based CRC survival predictors and benchmarked them against standard binary survival predictors, comparing their performance extensively on the clinical high and low risk subsets of one internal and three external cohorts. Survival curve-based risk prediction achieved a very similar risk stratification to binary risk prediction for this task. Exchanging other components of the pipeline, namely input tissue and feature extractor, had largely identical effects on model performance independently of the type of risk prediction. An ensemble of all survival curve-based models exhibited a more robust performance, as did a similar ensemble based on binary risk prediction. Patients could be further stratified within clinical risk groups. However, performance still varied across cohorts, indicating limited generalization of all investigated image analysis pipelines, whereas models using clinical data performed robustly on all cohorts.

A Novel and Efficient Digital Pathology Classifier for Predicting Cancer Biomarkers Using Sequencer Architecture.

In digital pathology tasks, transformers have achieved state-of-the-art results, surpassing convolutional neural networks (CNNs). However, transformers are usually complex and resource intensive. This study developed a novel and efficient digital pathology classifier called DPSeq to predict cancer biomarkers through fine-tuning a sequencer architecture integrating horizontal and vertical bidirectional long short-term memory networks. Using hematoxylin and eosin-stained histopathologic images of colorectal cancer from two international data sets (The Cancer Genome Atlas and Molecular and Cellular Oncology), the predictive performance of DPSeq was evaluated in a series of experiments. DPSeq demonstrated exceptional performance for predicting key biomarkers in colorectal cancer (microsatellite instability status, hypermutation, CpG island methylator phenotype status, BRAF mutation, TP53 mutation, and chromosomal instability), outperforming most published state-of-the-art classifiers in a within-cohort internal validation and a cross-cohort external validation. In addition, under the same experimental conditions using the same set of training and testing data sets, DPSeq surpassed four CNNs (ResNet18, ResNet50, MobileNetV2, and EfficientNet) and two transformer (Vision Transformer and Swin Transformer) models, achieving the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the precision-recall curve values in predicting microsatellite instability status, BRAF mutation, and CpG island methylator phenotype status. Furthermore, DPSeq required less time for both training and prediction because of its simple architecture. Therefore, DPSeq appears to be the preferred choice over transformer and CNN models for predicting cancer biomarkers.

Generalizability of Self-Supervised Training Models for Digital Pathology: A Multicountry Comparison in Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: In this multicountry study, we aim to explore the effectiveness of self-supervised learning (SSL) in colorectal cancer (CRC)-related predictive tasks using large amount of unlabeled digital pathology imaging data. METHODS: We adopted SimSiam to conduct self-supervised pretraining on two large whole-slide image CRC data sets from the United States and Australia. The SSL pretrained encoder is then used in several predictive tasks, including supervised predictive tasks (tissue classification, microsatellite instability v microsatellite stability classification), and weakly supervised predictive tasks (polyp type classification and adenoma grading, and 5-year survival prediction). Performance on the tasks was compared between models using SSL pretraining and those using ImageNet pretraining, and performance for one-country pretraining was compared with two-country pretraining. RESULTS: We demonstrate that SSL pretraining outperforms ImageNet pretraining in predictive tasks, that is, SSL pretraining outperforms the ImageNet pretraining by 3.01% of F1 score on average over supervised predictive tasks and 1.53% of AUC on average over weakly supervised predictive tasks. Furthermore, two-country SSL pretraining has shown more stable performance than single-country pretraining, that is, two-country pretraining outperforms at least one of the single-country pretrainings by 1.93% of F1 on average over supervised predictive tasks and 1.36% of AUC on average over weakly-supervised predictive tasks. CONCLUSION: We find that using unlabeled image data for SSL pretraining in CRC related tasks is more effective than using ImageNet pretraining. Furthermore, SSL pretraining using data from multiple countries achieve more stable performance and better generalization than single-country pretraining.

Transformer-based biomarker prediction from colorectal cancer histology: A large-scale multicentric study.

Deep learning (DL) can accelerate the prediction of prognostic biomarkers from routine pathology slides in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, current approaches rely on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and have mostly been validated on small patient cohorts. Here, we develop a new transformer-based pipeline for end-to-end biomarker prediction from pathology slides by combining a pre-trained transformer encoder with a transformer network for patch aggregation. Our transformer-based approach substantially improves the performance, generalizability, data efficiency, and interpretability as compared with current state-of-the-art algorithms. After training and evaluating on a large multicenter cohort of over 13,000 patients from 16 colorectal cancer cohorts, we achieve a sensitivity of 0.99 with a negative predictive value of over 0.99 for prediction of microsatellite instability (MSI) on surgical resection specimens. We demonstrate that resection specimen-only training reaches clinical-grade performance on endoscopic biopsy tissue, solving a long-standing diagnostic problem.

A nationwide study of COVID-19 impact on mental health-related presentations among children and adolescents to primary care practices in Australia.

This study explored the impacts of COVID-19 on the mental health (MH)-related visits to general practices (GPs) among children and young people (CYP) up to 18 years of age in Australia. This study analysed national-level data captured by the NPS MedicineWise program on monthly CYP MH-related visits per 10,000 visits to GPs from January 2014 to September 2021. We considered the pre-COVID-19 period (January 2014-February 2020) and the COVID-19 period (March 2020-September 2021). We used a Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on MH-related GP visits per 10,000 visits. A total of 103,813 out of 7,690,874 visits to GP (i.e., about 135 per 10,000 visits) were related to MH during study period. The BSTS model showed a significant increase in the overall MH-related visits during COVID-19 period (33%, 95% Credible Interval (Crl) 8.5%-56%), particularly, visits related to depressive disorders (61%, 95% Crl 29%-91%). The greatest increase was observed among females (39%, 95% Crl 12%-64%) and those living in socioeconomically least disadvantaged areas (36%, 95% Crl 1.2-71%). Our findings highlight the need for resources to be directed towards at-risk CYP to improve MH outcomes and reduce health system burden.

Integrated Management Systems (IMS) to Support and Sustain Quality One Health Services: International Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic by the IMIA Primary Care Working Group.

OBJECTIVES: One Health considers human, animal and environment health as a continuum. The COVID-19 pandemic started with the leap of a virus from animals to humans. Integrated management systems (IMS) should provide a coherent management framework, to meet reporting requirements and support care delivery. We report IMS deployment during, and retention post the COVID-19 pandemic, and exemplar One Health use cases. METHODS: Six volunteer members of the International Medical Association's (IMIA) Primary Care Working Group provided data about any IMS and One Health use to support the COVID-19 pandemic initiatives. We explored how IMS were: (1) Integrated with organisational strategy; (2) Utilised standardised processes, and (3) Met reporting requirements, including public health. Selected contributors provided Unified Modelling Language (UML) use case diagram for a One Health exemplar. RESULTS: There was weak evidence of synergy between IMS and health system strategy to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there were rapid pragmatic responses to COVID-19, not citing IMS. All health systems implemented IMS to link COVID test results, vaccine uptake and outcomes, particularly mortality and to provide patients access to test results and vaccination certification. Neither proportion of gross domestic product alone, nor vaccine uptake determined outcome. One Health exemplars demonstrated that animal, human and environmental specialists could collaborate. CONCLUSIONS: IMS use improved the pandemic response. However, IMS use was pragmatic rather than utilising an international standard, with some of their benefits lost post-pandemic. Health systems should incorporate IMS that enables One Health approaches as part of their post COVID-19 pandemic preparedness.

Using machine learning to predict cardiovascular risk using self-reported questionnaires: Findings from the 45 and Up Study.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning has been shown to outperform traditional statistical methods for risk prediction model development. We aimed to develop machine learning-based risk prediction models for cardiovascular mortality and hospitalisation for ischemic heart disease (IHD) using self-reported questionnaire data. METHODS: The 45 and Up Study was a retrospective population-based study in New South Wales, Australia (2005-2009). Self-reported healthcare survey data on 187,268 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease was linked to hospitalisation and mortality data. We compared different machine learning algorithms, including traditional classification methods (support vector machine (SVM), neural network, random forest and logistic regression) and survival methods (fast survival SVM, Cox regression and random survival forest). RESULTS: A total of 3687 participants experienced cardiovascular mortality and 12,841 participants had IHD-related hospitalisation over a median follow-up of 10.4 years and 11.6 years respectively. The best model for cardiovascular mortality was a Cox survival regression with L1 penalty at a re-sampled case/non-case ratio of 0.3 achieved by under-sampling of the non-cases. This model had the Uno's and Harrel's concordance indexes of 0.898 and 0.900 respectively. The best model for IHD hospitalisation was a Cox survival regression with L1 penalty at a re-sampled case/non-case ratio of 1.0 with Uno's and Harrel's concordance indexes of 0.711 and 0.718 respectively. CONCLUSION: Machine learning-based risk prediction models developed using self-reported questionnaire data had good prediction performance. These models may have the potential to be used in initial screening tests to identify high-risk individuals before undergoing costly investigation.

Focused Chest Pain Assessment for Early Detection of Acute Coronary Syndrome: Development of a Cardiovascular Digital Health Intervention.

Background: Chest pain misinterpretation is the leading cause of pre-hospital delay in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This study aims to identify and differentiate the chest pain characteristics associated with ACS. Methods: A total of 164 patients with a primary complaint of chest pain in the ER were included in the study. ACS diagnosis was made by a cardiologist based on the WHO criteria, and the patients were interviewed 48 hours after their admission. Furthermore, every question was analysed using the crosstabs method to obtain the odds ratio, and logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the model of focused questions on chest pain assessment. Results: Among the samples, 50% of them had an ACS. Four questions fitted the final model of ACS chest pain focused questions: 1) Did the chest pain occur at the left/middle chest? 2) Did the chest pain radiate to the back? 3) Was the chest pain provoked by activity and relieved by rest? 4) Was the chest pain provoked by food ingestion, positional changes, or breathing? This model has 92.7% sensitivity, 84.1% specificity, 85% positive predictive value (PPV), 86% negative predictive value (NPV), and 86% accuracy. After adjusting for gender and diabetes mellitus (DM), the final model has a significant increase in Nagelkerke R-square to 0.737 and Hosmer and Lemeshow test statistic of 0.639. Conclusion: Focused questions on 1) left/middle chest pain, 2) retrosternal chest pain, 3) exertional chest pain that is relieved by rest, and 4) chest pain from food ingestion, positional changes, or breathing triggering can be used to rule out ACS with high predictive value. The findings from this study can be used in health promotion materials and campaigns to improve public awareness regarding ACS symptoms. Additionally, digital health interventions to triage patients' suffering with chest pain can also be developed.

Predicting microsatellite instability and key biomarkers in colorectal cancer from H&E-stained images: achieving state-of-the-art predictive performance with fewer data using Swin Transformer.

Many artificial intelligence models have been developed to predict clinically relevant biomarkers for colorectal cancer (CRC), including microsatellite instability (MSI). However, existing deep learning networks require large training datasets, which are often hard to obtain. In this study, based on the latest Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows (Swin Transformer [Swin-T]), we developed an efficient workflow to predict biomarkers in CRC (MSI, hypermutation, chromosomal instability, CpG island methylator phenotype, and BRAF and TP53 mutation) that required relatively small datasets. Our Swin-T workflow substantially achieved the state-of-the-art (SOTA) predictive performance in an intra-study cross-validation experiment on the Cancer Genome Atlas colon and rectal cancer dataset (TCGA-CRC-DX). It also demonstrated excellent generalizability in cross-study external validation and delivered a SOTA area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.90 for MSI, using the Molecular and Cellular Oncology dataset for training (N = 1,065) and the TCGA-CRC-DX (N = 462) for testing. A similar performance (AUROC = 0.91) was reported in a recent study, using ~8,000 training samples (ResNet18) on the same testing dataset. Swin-T was extremely efficient when using small training datasets and exhibited robust predictive performance with 200-500 training samples. Our findings indicate that Swin-T could be 5-10 times more efficient than existing algorithms for MSI prediction based on ResNet18 and ShuffleNet. Furthermore, the Swin-T models demonstrated their capability in accurately predicting MSI and BRAF mutation status, which could exclude and therefore reduce samples before subsequent standard testing in a cascading diagnostic workflow, in turn reducing turnaround time and costs.

Prognostic Significance of Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes Determined Using LinkNet on Colorectal Cancer Pathology Images.

PURPOSE: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) have a significant prognostic value in cancers. However, very few automated, deep learning-based TIL scoring algorithms have been developed for colorectal cancer (CRC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed an automated, multiscale LinkNet workflow for quantifying TILs at the cellular level in CRC tumors using H&E-stained images from the Lizard data set with annotations of lymphocytes. The predictive performance of the automatic TIL scores (TILsLink) for disease progression and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using two international data sets, including 554 patients with CRC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and 1,130 patients with CRC from Molecular and Cellular Oncology (MCO). RESULTS: The LinkNet model provided outstanding precision (0.9508), recall (0.9185), and overall F1 score (0.9347). Clear continuous TIL-hazard relationships were observed between TILsLink and the risk of disease progression or death in both TCGA and MCO cohorts. Both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for the TCGA data demonstrated that patients with high TIL abundance had a significant (approximately 75%) reduction in risk for disease progression. In both the MCO and TCGA cohorts, the TIL-high group was significantly associated with improved OS in univariate analysis (30% and 54% reduction in risk, respectively). The favorable effects of high TIL levels were consistently observed in different subgroups (classified according to known risk factors). CONCLUSION: The proposed deep-learning workflow for automatic TIL quantification on the basis of LinkNet can be a useful tool for CRC. TILsLink is likely an independent risk factor for disease progression and carries predictive information of disease progression beyond the current clinical risk factors and biomarkers. The prognostic significance of TILsLink for OS is also evident.

Artificial intelligence based personalized predictive survival among colorectal cancer patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Colorectal cancer is a major health concern. It is now the third most common cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of machine learning algorithms for predicting survival of colorectal cancer patients 1 to 5 years after diagnosis, and identify the most important variables. METHODS: A sample of 1236 patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer and 118 predictor variables has been used. The outcome of interest was a binary variable indicating whether the patient survived the number of years in question or not. 20 predictor variables were selected using mutual information score with the outcome. We implemented 11 machine learning algorithms and evaluated their performance with a 5 by 2-fold cross-validation with stratified folds and with paired Student's t-tests. We compared the results with the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox's proportional hazard regression. RESULTS: Using the 20 most important predictor variables for each of the survival years, the logistic regression algorithm achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.850 (0.014 SD, 0.840-0.860 95 % CI) for the 1-year, and 0.872 (0.014 SD, 0.861-0.882 95% CI) for the 5-year survival prediction. Using only the 5 most important predictor variables, the corresponding values are 0.793 (0.020 SD, 0.778-0.807 95% CI) and 0.794 (0.011 SD, 0.785-0.802 95% CI). The most important variables for 1-year prediction were number of R residual, M distant metastasis, overall stage, probable recurrence within 5 years, and tumour length, whereas for 5-year prediction the most important were probable recurrence within 5 years, R residual, M distant metastasis, number of positive lymph nodes, and palliative chemotherapy. Biomarkers do not appear among the top 20 most important ones. For all survival intervals, the probability of the top model agrees with the Kaplan-Meier estimate, both in the interval of one standard deviation and in the 95% confidence interval. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that machine learning algorithms can predict the survival probability of colorectal cancer patients and can be used to inform the patients and assist decision-making in clinical care management. In addition, this study unveils the most essential variables for estimating survival short- and long-term among patients with Colorectal cancer.

Characteristics and outcomes of COVID-19 patients with and without asthma from the United States, South Korea, and Europe.

Objective: Large international comparisons describing the clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 are limited. The aim of the study was to perform a large-scale descriptive characterization of COVID-19 patients with asthma.Methods: We included nine databases contributing data from January to June 2020 from the US, South Korea (KR), Spain, UK and the Netherlands. We defined two cohorts of COVID-19 patients ('diagnosed' and 'hospitalized') based on COVID-19 disease codes. We followed patients from COVID-19 index date to 30 days or death. We performed descriptive analysis and reported the frequency of characteristics and outcomes in people with asthma defined by codes and prescriptions.Results: The diagnosed and hospitalized cohorts contained 666,933 and 159,552 COVID-19 patients respectively. Exacerbation in people with asthma was recorded in 1.6-8.6% of patients at presentation. Asthma prevalence ranged from 6.2% (95% CI 5.7-6.8) to 18.5% (95% CI 18.2-18.8) in the diagnosed cohort and 5.2% (95% CI 4.0-6.8) to 20.5% (95% CI 18.6-22.6) in the hospitalized cohort. Asthma patients with COVID-19 had high prevalence of comorbidity including hypertension, heart disease, diabetes and obesity. Mortality ranged from 2.1% (95% CI 1.8-2.4) to 16.9% (95% CI 13.8-20.5) and similar or lower compared to COVID-19 patients without asthma. Acute respiratory distress syndrome occurred in 15-30% of hospitalized COVID-19 asthma patients.Conclusion: The prevalence of asthma among COVID-19 patients varies internationally. Asthma patients with COVID-19 have high comorbidity. The prevalence of asthma exacerbation at presentation was low. Whilst mortality was similar among COVID-19 patients with and without asthma, this could be confounded by differences in clinical characteristics. Further research could help identify high-risk asthma patients.[Box: see text]Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/02770903.2021.2025392 .

A Machine Learning Model to Predict Length of Stay and Mortality among Diabetes and Hypertension Inpatients.

Background and Objectives: Taiwan is among the nations with the highest rates of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and Hypertension (HTN). As more cases are reported each year, there is a rise in hospital admissions for people seeking medical attention. This creates a burden on hospitals and affects the overall management and administration of the hospitals. Hence, this study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict the Length of Stay (LoS) and mortality among T2DM and HTN inpatients. Materials and Methods: Using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), this cohort study consisted of 58,618 patients, where 25,868 had T2DM, 32,750 had HTN, and 6419 had both T2DM and HTN. We analyzed the data with different machine learning models for the prediction of LoS and mortality. The evaluation was done by plotting descriptive statistical graphs, feature importance, precision-recall curve, accuracy plots, and AUC. The training and testing data were set at a ratio of 8:2 before applying ML algorithms. Results: XGBoost showed the best performance in predicting LoS (R2 0.633; RMSE 0.386; MAE 0.123), and RF resulted in a slightly lower performance (R2 0.591; RMSE 0.401; MAE 0.027). Logistic Regression (LoR) performed the best in predicting mortality (CV Score 0.9779; Test Score 0.9728; Precision 0.9432; Recall 0.9786; AUC 0.97 and AUPR 0.93), closely followed by Ridge Classifier (CV Score 0.9736; Test Score 0.9692; Precision 0.9312; Recall 0.9463; AUC 0.94 and AUPR 0.89). Conclusions: We developed a robust prediction model for LoS and mortality of T2DM and HTN inpatients. Linear Regression showed the best performance for LoS, and Logistic Regression performed the best in predicting mortality. The results showed that ML algorithms can not only help healthcare professionals in data-driven decision-making but can also facilitate early intervention and resource planning.

Colorectal Cancer Survival Prediction Using Deep Distribution Based Multiple-Instance Learning.

Most deep-learning algorithms that use Hematoxylin- and Eosin-stained whole slide images (WSIs) to predict cancer survival incorporate image patches either with the highest scores or a combination of both the highest and lowest scores. In this study, we hypothesize that incorporating wholistic patch information can predict colorectal cancer (CRC) cancer survival more accurately. As such, we developed a distribution-based multiple-instance survival learning algorithm (DeepDisMISL) to validate this hypothesis on two large international CRC WSIs datasets called MCO CRC and TCGA COAD-READ. Our results suggest that combining patches that are scored based on percentile distributions together with the patches that are scored as highest and lowest drastically improves the performance of CRC survival prediction. Including multiple neighborhood instances around each selected distribution location (e.g., percentiles) could further improve the prediction. DeepDisMISL demonstrated superior predictive ability compared to other recently published, state-of-the-art algorithms. Furthermore, DeepDisMISL is interpretable and can assist clinicians in understanding the relationship between cancer morphological phenotypes and a patient's cancer survival risk.